Ohioans will “overwhelmingly”
approve ballot measures to protect reproductive and abortion rights and
legalize marijuana, Shumaker Advisors Senior Vice President Derrick Clay told Hannah
News on Monday.
“People are just tired
of the government telling them how to utilize their bodies,” said Clay, who has
held various leadership roles in Ohio Democratic politics over the last few
decades. “People do not want restrictions when it comes to their bodies. It’s
just one of those things. This campaign is about rights and choices.”
Election Day voters
will head to the polls on Tuesday, Nov. 7 to make their voices heard on
reproductive and abortion rights constitutional amendment Issue 1 and adult use
marijuana legalization initiated statute Issue 2.
“I think both of them
are going to pass convincingly,” Clay said. “I’m not going to say it will be as
much as 60-40 -- that might be a little too much. But I definitely think that
it’s going to be … between 55 and 60.”
Clay said he expects
voter turnout will be higher than usual for odd-year elections.
“I think you’re going
to see a lot of younger voters come out in this election, and the reason for
that is the marijuana issue is going to drive a lot of those voters out,” Clay
said. “At the same time, those same types of voters are being lured in by Issue
1 just because of the severity of what it could do if it’s not passed.”
He said it’s not
surprising that early voting is also higher than average this cycle.
“Early voting is
continuously going to get more popular as we go on, just because people don’t
want to stand in line. They don’t want the hassle of trying to get up early before
work or trying to leave at lunchtime or going after work to try to vote. They
want to do it at their leisure, and if they can do it in a way that’s
convenient to their schedule, they’re going to pick that all day long,” Clay
said. “Think about everything else in our lives. Everything else is convenient.
Companies make things convenient for people. Why shouldn’t our election process
be the same? Folks are busy. People have responsibilities. If you want more
people to participate in the civic duty of voting, you have to make it more
convenient for them.”
Clay said turnout will
be higher in both rural and urban areas.
“Issue 1 is a very
polarizing issue. It’s going to draw people that are for the issue, and it’s
going to draw people that are against the issue. You’re probably going to see
an uptick in the more rural voters because that’s where you tend to see
pro-life folks. In the urban areas, I think because we have a marijuana issue
on that ballot, that’s going to drive the turnout in the urban areas. I think
those two combined, and there will be some overlap in how folks feel about
Issue 1 or 2, but I think it’s going to have elevated voter turnout in both rural
and urban areas,” he said.
Clay said Issue 1 has
a more clear partisan divide than Issue 2, with the majority of Democrats being
for abortion rights and the majority of Republicans being anti-abortion.
“Issue 2 -- you’re
going to get mostly Democrats coming out to vote for that, but there’s a lot of
folks that don’t necessarily want you to know that they participate in
cannabis, but they do it all the time,” Clay said. “People in conservative
areas -- they smoke and chew gummies too. There’s a reason that the issue is so
popular in the state.”